Analyst: 'AAPL Shares May Reflect Too Much Near-Term Cell Phone Optimism'

via e-mail: “Now
that the stock has greatly outperformed as we predicted, we believe it
may be a little overbought near-term but remain a buyer on weakness.”

Appleis stock has jumped 15% in the three weeks since Mr. Wuis previous report, compared to a 3% gain for the overall Nasdaq index. “We would not be surprised to see a near-term pullback and would be aggressive buyers at lower levels (low-$70s, high-$60s),” he wrote.

The analyst also provided some comments on Microsoftis upcoming Zune MP3 player, noting: “In our recent analysis, we have learned that the Zune portable media player and service will likely use a new proprietary Zune DRM that is incompatible with MSFTis PlaysForSure DRM that MSFT and its OEM partners, including Creative, SanDisk, Sony, Samsung, iRiver, Archos, etc., use. We believe the unexpected side effect will be further fragmentation in the Windows Media market, creating more confusion to consumers.”

Mr. Wu added: “We remain underwhelmed with the much-hyped Zune, which is
essentially a repackaged Toshiba Gigabeat. However, we believe Zune will likely
see some modest success due to MSFTis vast resources and strong brand name,
but at the expense of its Windows partners.”

The analyst retained his “Buy” rating on Appleis stock, with a $91 target price. At 1:20 PM EST on Wednesday, the companyis shares were selling for $76.49, down 1.44% for the day.

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